Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005790 0.006613 0.007564 0.008758 0.010235 0.012026 0.014404
2026-01-25 0.004581 0.005559 0.006795 0.008513 0.010910 0.014253 0.019507
2026-02-01 0.003826 0.004816 0.006138 0.008102 0.011078 0.015675 0.023937
2026-02-08 0.003307 0.004273 0.005616 0.007712 0.011097 0.016781 0.028261
2026-02-15 0.003053 0.004046 0.005482 0.007838 0.011909 0.019394 0.036734
2026-02-22 0.002779 0.003752 0.005200 0.007667 0.012158 0.021048 0.044246
2026-03-01 0.002536 0.003475 0.004904 0.007415 0.012190 0.022269 0.051607
2026-03-08 0.002346 0.003256 0.004673 0.007235 0.012310 0.023714 0.060897
2026-03-15 0.002258 0.003187 0.004671 0.007456 0.013282 0.027546 0.082522
2026-03-22 0.002196 0.003152 0.004719 0.007774 0.014542 0.032758 0.118813
2026-03-29 0.002150 0.003136 0.004798 0.008161 0.016073 0.039708 0.183286
2026-04-05 0.002042 0.003009 0.004664 0.008096 0.016488 0.043373 0.240850
2026-04-12 0.001942 0.002894 0.004557 0.008104 0.017192 0.049009 0.355259
2026-04-19 0.001821 0.002736 0.004358 0.007888 0.017254 0.052373 0.481311
2026-04-26 0.001694 0.002559 0.004106 0.007519 0.016787 0.053211 0.586765
2026-05-03 0.001581 0.002400 0.003874 0.007167 0.016292 0.053698 0.708738
2026-05-10 0.001531 0.002348 0.003846 0.007281 0.017261 0.062547 1.381595
2026-05-17 0.001457 0.002248 0.003713 0.007127 0.017335 0.066738 2.221933
2026-05-24 0.001381 0.002140 0.003557 0.006900 0.017110 0.069061 3.375537
2026-05-31 0.001318 0.002052 0.003434 0.006736 0.017071 0.072751 6.123438
2026-06-07 0.001294 0.002035 0.003453 0.006936 0.018404 0.088497 58.818366
2026-06-14 0.001278 0.002032 0.003503 0.007223 0.020200 0.112755 NaN
2026-06-21 0.001268 0.002038 0.003570 0.007572 0.022440 0.149934 NaN